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Non-Hispanic Whites Peaked in 2015

Tuesday, July 31, 2018

American Consumers Newsletter
By Cheryl Russell
New Strategist Press

The number of non-Hispanic Whites in the United States peaked in 2015, according to the Census Bureau's 2017 population estimates. Between 2015 and 2017, the non-Hispanic White population declined by 41,000. 

The shrinking of the non-Hispanic White population is occurring sooner than expected. The Census Bureau’s latest population projections, released earlier this year, show the number of non-Hispanic Whites increasing until 2023 and peaking at 198.7 million. Instead, the number of non-Hispanic Whites peaked in 2015 at 197.8 million – eight years sooner and about 1 million shy of the forecast.

Number of non-Hispanic Whites
2017: 197,803,083
2016: 197,834,599
2015: 197,844,074 (peak)
2010: 197,389,247

The ongoing baby bust is one of the factors behind the early peak in the number of non-Hispanic Whites. Between 2007 and 2016, the number of births to non-Hispanic Whites fell 11%, according to the National Center for Health Statistics. At the same time, the number of non-Hispanic White deaths increased because of the aging of the population and the rise in mortality rates among the middle-aged. Deaths now exceed births among non-Hispanic Whites.

Population by Race/Hispanic origin, 2017

The U.S. population grew by 16.4 million between 2010 and 2017, according to the Census Bureau. The non-Hispanic White population accounted for just 3% of the gain, while Asians, Blacks, Hispanics, and other minorities accounted for 97%. The minority share of the population climbed to 39.3%, up from 36.2% in 2010. Here are the 2017 population estimates by race and Hispanic origin...

Total population: 325,719,178 (100.0%)
The U.S. population grew 5.3% between 2010 and 2017, a gain of 16.4 million.

Non-Hispanic Whites: 197,803,083 (60.7%)
The non-Hispanic White population grew by a minuscule 0.2% between 2010 and 2017. But the tiny increase masks a remarkable shift: the number of non-Hispanic Whites peaked in 2015 and fell by 41,000 between 2015 and 2017. The peak in the number of non-Hispanic Whites occurred eight years sooner than forecast by the Census Bureau.

Hispanics: 58,946,729 (18.1%)
The Hispanic population grew 16.1% between 2010 and 2017, a gain of 8.2 million. Hispanics accounted for 50% of the nation's population growth between 2010 and 2017.

Blacks (alone or in combination): 47,411,470 (14.6%)
The Black population grew 9.4% between 2010 and 2017, more than the 5.3% national increase. The Black population grew by 4.1 million during those years.

Asians (alone or in combination): 22,183,118 (6.8%)
The Asian population grew 24.6% between 2010 and 2017, more than any other race or Hispanic origin group. The Asian population grew by 4.4 million during those years.

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